Third Quarter Collapse: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:



Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: NHL Free Agency Coverage: NHL Rumors, NHL Signings & Trades


spread the word

Evaluating the Orlando Magic After 10 Games

It's 10 games into the season and I still don't quite know what to make of the Orlando Magic. Their 7-3 record is one game worse than it was at this time last year, but that's hardly the most significant number. To gauge this team's progress, I thought it might be prudent to compare its stats from the first 10 games of this season to those from the first 10 games of last season. Here are the results:

The Offense
Magic 07/08Magic 08/09
105.8Efficiency106.5
51.5%eFG%49.1%
25.8FT Rate26.1
22.1OReb%26.6
15.0TO Rate14.8

Well, the offense is nothing if not consistent, as the subtle changes in the above numbers suggest. In spite of shooting worse from the field, Orlando's offense is slightly more efficient than last year's, due in large part to a marked increase in offensive rebound percentage. We can attribute some of that increase to the return of Tony Battie, whose offensive rebounding rate of 9.7 is his best since 2002/2003. However, much of the credit has to go to--surprise, surprise--Dwight Howard. Not satisfied with leading the league in total rebounds in each of the last three seasons, Howard's made huge improvement on the offensive glass, grabbing 15.8% of his team's available misses while he's on the floor. That mark annihilates his previous career best of 12.2% as well as his rate from last season, a career-low of 10.9%. In other words, the Magic can afford to misfire from the field a bit more because of Dwight's dominance on the boards. When they finally get out of their shooting slumps--Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu are shooting below 40%--they will be even more potent offensively.

Another positive sign is that the turnover rate has improved, ever so slightly. Point guard is arguably the Magic's weakest position, and the departures of Carlos Arroyo and Keyon Dooling last summer did little to change that. Credit Anthony Johnson (some) and Jameer Nelson (a lot; he's cut his turnover rate from 17.4% to 15.3%) for running the offense more smoothly.

Of course, basketball is played on two ends of the floor. We'll look at the Magic's defense after the jump.

Star-divide

The Defense
Magic 07/08Magic 08/09
97.8Efficiency100.3
45.1%eFG%45.3%
18.8FT Rate22.1
26.7OReb%25.1
15.3TO Rate14.6

Okay, so the team's defense has slid a little bit. Magic opponents are getting to the foul line more, and turning the ball over less, than they did at this point one year ago. Perhaps there's cause for concern there. Forcing turnovers is important for a defense because it leads to opportunities to score easy transition buckets. That the Magic are able to field a top-5 defense without forcing many turnovers is a testament to their discipline. They defend the old-fashioned way: by staying between their man and the basket. There are few opportunities for easy baskets against the Magic in the halfcourt, meaning it's imperative for Orlando opponents to take advantage of every Magic turnover to score in transition.

Also helping Orlando's defense: blocked shots. The Magic average 7.8 blocks per game, tops in the league. Last year, they blocked only 4.1 shots per game, or 27th in the league. This season, Howard has eclipsed that mark by himself, with a league-leading average of 4.2 blocks per game. No one else in the Magic's rotation averages more than one block per game, but Tony Battie (0.9) and Rashard Lewis (0.8) are awfully close.

Summarily, the Magic look a lot like they did a year ago, on offense and on defense. A marked improvement on the offensive glass has mitigated the team's poor shooting. If they can foul less often--I'm looking at you, Mickael Pietrus--their defensive efficiency will rival that of the Los Angeles Lakers and the boston Celtics, the best in the league. Any concern about this team's ability after it lost its first two games should be long gone by now. Again, we're early on in the season, but at this point it looks as though the Orlando Magic are for real.

0 recs | Comment 3 comments | Share on Facebook Digg!

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

I’m loving the start of the season. 7-3 is more than satisfying and remember, we are one Rudy Gay shot away from being 8-2.

by magic fanatic on Nov 17, 2008 10:17 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

well put ben. my evaluation need only be one word : schizophrenic.

story of the year so far is the steady play of jameer nelson.

by coque429 on Nov 17, 2008 11:50 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Thank Dwight

He is dominating in this young season so far. Once Turk and Lew start heating up I think we will jump up to a Eff differential of +8-10, and that is the stuff of champions.

There is also hope for improvement defensively. Lee looks to be a fantastic defender and as he gets more burn he could help in the TO category. Also, as MP starts limiting his fouls, like you said this will also help out a lot.

If Turk and Lew just suck this year, well then we are in trouble, but who really sees that happening?

'Coach, Dwight is a nice guy. Dwight don't hit anybody. But Superman will knock the crap out of you.' - D12

by Eyriq the Red on Nov 18, 2008 9:29 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Celebrating 20 years of Orlando Magic basketball


Community Guidelines


Vince Carter Presser Transcript

Start posting about the Magic »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
Brandon Bass: what's the attraction?
Maxav_small
Ariza to Rockets
Small
Hey Otis...Sign Linas Kleiza
Hedotugthejersey_small
Ron Artest to LAKERS?!?!?!
Hedotugthejersey_small
So Let's Assume . . .
200px-astoncolossus_small
Rudy Fernandez in a Magic Uniform?
Nocanhaz_small
Trevor likely to leave L.A.?
Small
How many multi-position players can we sign?
47715577_small
Keeping the 1 in, 4 out lineup. SF's
Dscn4684_small
Forget Franny, when is Milovan Rakovic coming here?

Post_icon New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini

Tiny Blogroll

Rather than include our complete blogroll in this space, we've decided to link to it instead. That way, you won't have to do as much scrolling. Enjoy.


Managing Editor

3qcrockjersey_small Ben Q Rock

Contributing Editor

Orlando-lee-306_small erivera7

Official Partner of Yahoo! Sports